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About Investing In An Unbalanced World
“Investing In An Unbalanced World” is written and maintained by the investment team at Bienville Capital Management, LLC. We created this blog as a medium to share our views and insights on investing, policies, economic history, geopolitical events and other factors impacting the market.
Author Archives: Donald Stoltz
Japan’s “Attempted” Reflation
One of our internal research pieces on Japan’s “Attempted” Reflation (apologies for not posting it earlier) has been making the rounds on Business Insider and Zerohedge. I wanted to re-post it here given Cullen was recently on Squawk Box Europe … Continue reading
European Update
While we are sympathetic to “Europe fatigue” (see Bloomberg Business week cover in the below pdf), we wanted to send out a quick note to discuss our perspective on Europe and how it relates to our investment decisions. We hope it provides … Continue reading
When sentiment is stretched…be cautious
I was building out some internal charts recently and ended up creating a spread between the bull and bear sentiment indices (using the AAIIBULL and AAIIBEAR Index). Basically it shows investors bullish sentiment in 6 months time (the higher the number … Continue reading
A bit of historical perspective…
The markets definitely seem excited about the euro-zone plan to hair-cut Greek debt and lever the EFSF (basically levering debt to solve a debt problem with money you hope to raise from Asian investors who you’re already indebted to…interesting), but … Continue reading
Where will the money go?
In early September we posted a handful of charts on how historic the recent market volatility has been and how unhealthy these swings are (especially for investor psychology, see link). The broad market S&P500 rocketed 4.2% in the last 45 minutes of trading today (that’s … Continue reading
Apocalypse Now!
Although it does sound like the title of one of our internal research pieces, it’s actually the title of an article written this month in Absolute Return + Alpha. We were fortunate enough to get some coverage in the article alongeside … Continue reading
These markets are making me sea sick…
Several strategists and money managers have commented recently about the historic volatility the markets have experienced over the past 30 days. Todays intra-day moves encouraged me to take a closer look at the numbers. Let’s start with todays rollercoaster ride. Pre-market this … Continue reading
Are the markets oversold?
The markets have been on quite a ride the past couple of weeks with the SPX cratering 11% from recent highs and the VIX exploding 87%. The talking heads are pointing to all sorts of reasons for the sell off, … Continue reading
China’s boom is more investment than consumption…
Cullen was recently asked to write a short column for Absolute Return’s online ”Unhedged Commentary” on China and their domestic disturbance. Click on the following link to check out the article…please ignore the picture, but not the message… Domestic disturbance: China’s … Continue reading →